The economic and population growth of the past two hundred years has been unique in the history of mankind. However, these developments and their inherent growth patterns have extracted a high price: our planet has been placed under unsustainable stress.
Overshoot Day moves up every year. This is the day when the amount of resources used exceeds the amount that can safely be taken from our ecosystem without depleting its substance. By August 1, 2018, all resources available for the entire year had been used up. From this point on until the end of the year, mankind lives at the expense of future generations.
There is no doubt that projected growth figures of large emerging economies (e.g. 100 per cent by 2030 in China) will make necessary increases in their supply more difficult, and – if solely based on known conventional sources of energy and other paradigms – appear ecologically impossible in view of available resources, even in the near future.
International political and societal tensions are just the harbingers of future increases in mutual international sanctions and might lead to economic wars; there is no doubt that future allocation battles appear unavoidable.